Five Weekend Bubble Games of Note

#11 FLORIDA AT KENTUCKY
The last time Kentucky had a do-or-die bubble game was two weeks ago, when the Wildcats beat Missouri in overtime. Since then, they've wasted all of that goodwill by losing their last two road games at Arkansas and Georgia. Now they're back where they started: needing a massive win to avoid becoming the 5th defending national champion since 1985 to miss the tournament altogether the following season.
The pick: Florida, but Kentucky isn't eliminated from tournament consideration just yet.

#4 KANSAS AT BAYLOR
Baylor has the Big 12's leading scorer, a likely lottery pick, and a handful of role players who went to the Elite Eight last year -- and the Bears are still on track to miss the NCAA Tournament. They did beat Oklahoma State, but their road win at Kentucky has deteriorated in value and a 17-13 overall record isn't going to cut it, not when two of those losses came at home to Charleston and Northwestern. There isn't a bigger disappointment in college basketball. This home game against Kansas represents their last chance to get back on the right side of the bubble.
The pick: Kansas. Baylor is not a good team.

MISSOURI AT TENNESSEE
Jordan McRae is on fire and the red-hot Volunteers have seven wins in their last eight games, including victories over Kentucky and Florida. Beating Missouri would complete the box set. If they pull this off, Tennessee would suddenly be in position for a relatively surprising NCAA Tournament bid.
The pick: Tennessee. Betting against Missouri on the road is one of the safer wagers in sports.

MARYLAND AT VIRGINIA
Since beating Duke, Maryland is 2-3 with losses to Boston College and Georgia Tech, and Virginia is 0-2 with losses to Boston College and Florida State. It's unlikely that both of these teams earn at-large bids, so this matchup amounts to something of a bubble elimination game. Winner stays alive, loser goes to the NIT.
The pick: Virginia. The Cavs haven't lost at home in ACC play and they're the better team anyway.

#21 VCU AT TEMPLE
Out of all of these bubble teams, Temple is the safest thanks to a neutral-court win over Syracuse and a road win at Villanova. But the Owls have also been prone to bad losses (Canisius? Duquesne?), so who knows what awful team they might lose to in the first round of the Atlantic 10 tournament. Beating VCU at home would seal the deal for Temple and eliminate any Selection Sunday stress.
The pick: VCU wins anyway -- the Rams have the 15th-most efficient offense in the country to pair with their trademark Havoc defense.